"Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth" - Mike Tyson

October 12, 2014

Correlation = causation?

NASCAR's most popular driver is Dale Earnhardt Jr.  He's won the most popular driver award TWELVE years in a row.  They say the sport goes as he goes.  We could make the case that the same goes for the stock chart of International Speedway Corp.  

ISCA was founded and run by the founding family of NASCAR.  The tracks they operate account for over half of the Sprint Cup Series schedule.  I've highlighted some important Dale Jr. related events.  Keep in mind the best performance of his career has come in the last year, and the consensus is 2014 is his best shot at a championship.


Just to clarify, The Kansas crash (D) effectively ended Earnhardt's chance at winning the championship.

Now do I think the stock has anything to do with Dale Jr's performance?  No.  But it makes an interesting case doesn't it?

Framing information is pretty easy when correlation arises.  This tactic is used everywhere, but it's hard to decipher correlation from causation.  You've got to use critical thinking skills when presented with this type of (or any) information.  We're all framing it.

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All ideas shown on this blog represent the authors opinion based on the data available.