"Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth" - Mike Tyson

July 17, 2014

The inflection point of the year is quickly approaching

We've got four cycle inflection points lining up for the weeks of August 4th+11th.  These inflection points were measured from key peaks-troughs on various timeframes from 2009-2012.  

Whether these are suggesting a peak or trough remain to be seen(two suggest peak, two trough), but it may actually be worth being long vol into August expiration.

In January 3 points suggested a peak and gave us the 6% January correction. 



There's no point in trying to predict the future, but having heightened awareness can't hurt, especially with the divergences we're starting to see in high yield + small caps.

Trade 'em well

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All ideas shown on this blog represent the authors opinion based on the data available.