"Everyone has a plan 'till they get punched in the mouth" - Mike Tyson

July 05, 2015

The Energy group is not acting well

The energy sector is struggling and it’s pretty clear the whole industry needs more time to recover from and (more importantly?) adjust to last year’s massive price shock. And this shows up on the chart for the Energy Sector ETF (XLE)
Looking at the chart below, there are a few takeaways that are important to note.
  • Underlying breadth leads price to new lows.
  • Momentum divergences failed to lead to a rally.
  • The Energy Sector ETF (XLE) has consistently traded lower while the market remains range bound.
  • 73 looks to be a major support area for XLE.
energy sector weakness xle chart divergences
Now let’s look at a major component of the Energy Sector – Crude Oil itself. Since rallying into May, Crude has gone sideways.
Here are a few important things to note about Crude Oil right now:
  • The falling 200 Day Moving Average has caught up to price.
  • Price may be forming a two month rounding top between 56-62.
  • Price has now fallen below the 50 day moving average.
  • The 50 day moving average is flattening out.
crude oil price chart energy sector weakness
In my view, there is not much to be positive about in the Oil and the Energy Sector right now. What would change the look? Some massive upside thrust. That said, it seems like the space still needs time to recover and digest last year’s massive price shock.
Thanks for reading.
Note: I originally published this post over at See It Market

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All ideas shown on this blog represent the authors opinion based on the data available.